Whiskey and GunPowder writes, in the Tuesday, July 24, 2007, 1:35 PM:

"Analysts at Goldman and CIBC say $100 oil may be just months away."

    Money and Markets, Wednesday, July 25, 2007, 7:31 AM, 'Investing in Groceries,' by Sean Brodick, has this to say:

Food prices of all types are rising at a fast clip around the world. In fact, they're up an average of 23% in the past 18 months, according to data from the International Monetary Fund....it will pinch your wallet.

• In just the month of June, U.S. food prices were up 0.5%, after rising 0.3% in May.

• Economists expected food prices to rise 4% this year, and we had already (WebMaster's italics) hit that by May

• Prices of fresh fruits and vegetables have risen 6.7% so far this year.

• In fact, the last time the price of groceries went up more than 4% was 1990, when they rose 6.5%.

However, things could get a lot worse. U.S. food prices jumped as much as 16.4% in 1973 and 14.9% in 1974. The driving factor in those years was higher gasoline prices ... much as we're seeing now!

    Mr. Brodrick continues:

Wheat: Farmers will harvest 1.562 million bushels of winter wheat this year, 3.3% less than estimated in May, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Prices for wheat have already surged 54% in the past 12 months as global demand outpaces supply for the seventh time in eight years.

Globally, the wheat crop is expected to fall 6.1%, making 2007 the smallest wheat crop since 1982. Australia's western wheat belt is suffering a terrible drought, and a heat wave is baking Canadian wheat. And in Europe, wheat farmers are being flooded out.

Pork and Beef: Pigs and cows eat corn and other grains. Because prices for feed are rising, so are beef and pork prices.

...it used to be that live cattle prices would fall when grain prices went up. Reason: Ranchers wouldn't want to feed their cattle so they'd dump them on the market.

But that's no longer the case -- farmers are just taking the risk and passing the cost along to consumers. So far demand hasn't slacked off.

Milk: The drought in Australia is drying up dairy exportrs to the Pacific Rim. This is causing a chain reaction of dairy demand around the world. Add in higher fuel prices that dairy farmers in the U.S. are paying, and the price of milk moo-ooves to more than $4 per gallon. Heck, in some parts of the U.S., the per-gallon price of milk is up 55% in just the past year!

Ice Cream: Is nothing sacred? ...as the price of milk goes higher, so does the price of ice cream. That's because the price of butterfat -- used in ice cream -- is soaring, too.

    And this demand for "... annual corn-based ethanol output in the U.S. is expected to double between 2006 and 2016. And over the same time period, China's ethanol output is expected to rise 111%."

    This means less foodstuffs and more high prices!

    And Dr. Mary G. Enig, world-class lipid chemist, says in Wise Traditions, Summer 2007, under 'Know Your Fats':

And a return to a sensible policy of using natural, traditional fats would bring down the huge and powerful seed oil industry, which is the lynch pin of the American commodity agriculture system.

    The point of this is there will be more and more of less and less foodstuffs coming to the market. And what does arrive on the market will be costly.

    Practically everything agriculturally is going for other things with diversion away from foodstuffs to be consumed by the American citizen. Manufacturers are making more money doing this.

    Eventually you will be fighting over food and water as happened in the '70s over gasoline at the pump lines. U.S. States will fight over water in the not-too-distant future. There will be water wars!

    Consider Wheat, Par-boiled white rice, oats, rye, barley, corn, flour, potatoes, and powdered milk (last two not a grain). These should be figured in for variety and nourishment.

    A basic fact to figure from is that 2,000 pounds of grains will feed a family of four for one year. This is 500 lbs./person/year just of grains. This is the minimal amount.

    Therefore, you want the following amount for one person for one year:

• 500 lbs grains

• 500 lbs flour/rice/beans/spaghetti mixture

• 500 lbs milk/potatoes/oils/seasonings/sugar/salt (without salt, you may not make it),        etc. More of some; less of others, such as seasonings/sugar/salt
  1,500 lbs/year/individual

    For three (3) people: 4500 lbs per year, and for five (5) the storage of the above items would be 7,500 lbs per year.

    Times in America will change rather abruptly.
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